Atlantic Canada Online Weather Watchers -> Tropical Storm Debbie

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Tropical Storm Debbie

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cfogarty	Posted: Jun 23 2012, 03:32 PM
Meteorologist [PhD] Group: Super Moderators Posts: 9,446 Member No.: 10 Joined: 29-April 04	Here's a clear-cut-n-dry forecast. :lol: http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/al962012.png

GBNova	Posted: Jun 23 2012, 03:53 PM
Administrator Group: Admin Posts: 7,118 Member No.: 1 Joined: 27-April 04	Looks like it to me. There is a 95% chance it will hit North America. :D

shaneomac1234	Posted: Jun 25 2012, 04:57 PM
Active Member Group: Members Posts: 1,244 Member No.: 331 Joined: 21-February 12	Could be interesting when it comes to Debbie this week the ecm has it blowing up around sunday of next week with a 943mb low just off the carolinas .. obv thats the long range but with the lower shear and the warm gulf stream waters it could strengthen .. discuss ?

shaneomac1234

Posted: Jun 25 2012, 09:52 PM

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QUOTE (GBNova @ Jun 23 2012, 03:53 PM)

Looks like it to me. There is a 95% chance it will hit North America. :D

Agreed going to be interesting the next couple days ..

shaneomac1234	Posted: Jun 26 2012, 09:29 PM
Active Member Group: Members Posts: 1,244 Member No.: 331 Joined: 21-February 12	Very interesting on the Ec site it has debbie moving in our direction by sunday with sustained winds of 85 ? can somebody clear something up will we get the tail end of debbie in the long range ?

cfogarty

Posted: Jun 27 2012, 12:19 AM

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QUOTE (shaneomac1234 @ Jun 26 2012, 10:29 PM)

Very interesting on the Ec site it has debbie moving in our direction by sunday with sustained winds of 85 ? can somebody clear something up will we get the tail end of debbie in the long range ?

The track map (attached screen capture) shows an actual track from NHC (red text upper left). This is a well-offshore track consistent with the overall pattern, and note the last node in the track is not till Sunday. We'll be watching the remnants though, for sure. Stay updated at http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/hurricane/track_e.html .

Chris

Attached Image (Click thumbnail to expand)